U.S. natural gas futures fell more than 5% on Wednesday, with February delivery trading at $3.745/mmBtu. Warmer forecasts through January 14 and a smaller-than-expected EIA storage withdrawal of 38 Bcf pressured prices.
Record LNG feedgas flows in 2025 kept the year on track for a second annual gain.
Lower heating demand and a smaller storage draw reduce near-term tightness, weighing on prices. Strong LNG exports and record production limit how far the decline can extend.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Futures fell more than 5% on warmer forecasts through Jan 14 and a smaller-than-expected storage draw, starting the sharp decline.