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US natural gas futures dropped about 5% from a two-year high on forecasts of milder late-January weather. Extreme cold over the holiday weekend was still expected to freeze wells and push heating demand to record highs.
Storage withdrawals were on track to erase the surplus over the five-year average.
Cold-driven storage draws and output losses tighten the gas balance and raise energy costs for grain drying and feed milling. The expected warming trend points to lower gas prices ahead, which eases those costs.
energynow.comJan 17, 2025After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
