
Slovo i Dilo analysed Ukraine's grain and oilseed exports before and during the full-scale war, covering corn, wheat, soybeans, barley, rapeseed and sunflower. Corn and wheat remain the leading export crops, and grain sales still fund a significant part of the budget despite ongoing attacks on logistics.
Ukraine's export volumes and mix shape global corn and wheat availability, and the war-era decline versus pre-2022 levels keeps Black Sea supply tighter than in peacetime. This is a background review rather than a new supply shock, so its price impact is limited.
After 770 past neutral report events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.