
The rand weakened in early trade on Wednesday as higher oil prices, lifted by a Saudi refinery attack, raised inflation concerns. Traders expected the US Federal Reserve to hold rates that day but priced an 84% chance of a December hike.
Higher crude raises input and energy costs for feed producers and can strengthen the dollar against emerging-market currencies such as the rand, which affects import costs for South African feed buyers.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.