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China's yuan weakened to an eight-year low against the dollar as expectations of higher U.S. interest rates lifted the dollar. The move put Beijing's commitment to market-oriented currency reforms in focus ahead of Donald Trump taking office.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese buying of imported feed ingredients more expensive in dollar terms and can reduce import demand for U.S. commodities. A firmer dollar also tends to weigh on dollar-priced grains and meals.
reuters.comMichelle ChenNov 16, 2016After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Yuan weakness on 11/16 reflected expectations of higher US rates lifting the dollar, a reflection of the same driver.
