The US dollar rose slightly against the Canadian dollar as Canadian debt yields and oil prices declined. WTI December crude settled down $7.66, or 7.4%, at $96.46 a barrel, and Brent January traded down $8.42 to $105.01.
Steep oil declines reduce diesel and freight cost expectations for feed supply chains and lower the energy premium in grain and oilseed prices. The FX move itself is minor for feed buyers.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.