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The U.S. dollar fell sharply against the Canadian dollar on Wednesday after the Bank of Canada hinted at near-term rate hikes, with the 1.30 level marking heavy selling. Algorithmic trading amplified the move, and the author expects oil supply increases to weigh on the loonie later.
The hawkish central bank signal strengthens the loonie against the dollar, and the author's view that oil supply will rise points to weaker energy prices that tend to pressure feed and biofuel-linked commodities.
fxempire.comChristopher LewisMay 31, 2018Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
