Dollar falls abroad ahead of US midterm elections; euro rises

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Mar 16, 2023Euro rises, dollar falls after ECB rate decision-1.2%
• Mar 4, 2025Euro gains after German debt reform; US dollar falls-1.2%
• May 1, 2025Dollar falls broadly ahead of US data, tariff uncertainty-0.4%
• Jan 1, 2026Dollar falls versus yen after smaller-than-expected rise in US inflation, euro eases+0.3%
• Nov 26, 2020Euro rises to near 3-month high as US dollar falls - The Business Times-1.2%

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Dec 7, 2020Ringgit falls against US dollar on lack of demand, lower Fitch downgrade | Malaysia now+1.7%
• Jun 19, 2026Euro steadies as the US Dollar eases, but hawkish Fed bets limit upside-6.4%
• Sep 19, 2019Ringgit at 4.15 to US dollar at end of 2019, says MIDF Research | Malay Mail-2.4%
• Feb 2, 2018Oil prices fall as US stock market slumps and dollar strengthens-6.3%
• Mar 22, 2020Ringgit opens lower against US dollar in early session | Malaysiakini-10.0%