Euro holds gains, as lower Oil prices offset weak German Retail Sales figures

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Oct 16, 2024Oil prices hold at 2-week low on lower oil demand growth forecasts+2.5%
• Sep 23, 2024Oil settles lower on weak euro zone business activity-4.5%
• Dec 6, 2022Ringgit ends lower against US dollar as oil prices decline | Malay Mail-6.1%
• Dec 20, 2018Oil demand flashes red, sending crude prices even lower-8.1%
• Sep 18, 2024Crude oil prices today: WTI, Brent lower as Fed cuts rates+1.5%

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Jun 28, 2016EU wheat prices weaken as firmer euro dents export outlook+0.5%
• Mar 4, 2025Euro gains after German debt reform; US dollar falls+3.2%
• May 23, 2022Stocks rally as euro gains on likely rate hikes+1.4%
• Feb 5, 2026ECB warns of stronger euro impact, holds rates+0.7%
• Oct 31, 2023Euro Holds Gains After Eurozone Inflation Comes In Below 3.0% But Core Remains 'Sticky'+1.2%