AHDB forecasts UK pigmeat production to rise 4% in 2026 to just over 1 million tonnes, after 4.3% growth in the first nine months. Production is expected to fall back to 2025 levels in 2027 as the backlog of pigs clears.
Elevated UK supply through 2026 is contributing to a market trough alongside falling EU pig prices, while expected 2027 production cuts could support prices later. Feed demand from UK pig producers may soften near term before tightening.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.