Mintec reports that the COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect commodity markets unevenly despite some lockdown easing. Its grains index rose 17.5% year-to-date to early April, then fell as rice and maize dropped by 6.3% and 3.6% in April.
CBOT corn is under pressure from reduced ethanol demand after plant closures during lockdowns.
Lower ethanol output reduces corn demand and weighs on DDGS supply expectations and corn prices. Buyers should watch whether demand recovers as lockdowns ease.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.