
ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods said diesel prices are high because there is not enough supply. Exxon's refining division earned a record $9.05 billion in the third quarter, and Woods said the company plans to invest over $100 billion between 2027 and 2030.
Reported refining margins and the CEO's view that supply is short point to continued tight distillate supply and firm diesel prices, though the announced investment has no sized near-term effect.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.