
Rural Bank and Rural Finance estimate Australia's winter crop will approach 50 million tonnes, with wheat up 16% to 28 million tonnes and barley up 11% to 10 million tonnes. Yields are expected to be strong despite water damage in central west NSW and frost in Western Australia.
A near-record winter crop increases Australian export availability for wheat and barley, which typically weighs on feed grain and malting prices.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.