
US and European shares rose while the euro fell to its lowest level since 2017. The dollar extended its surge toward its biggest monthly gain since January 2015, driven by expectations of aggressive Fed rate hikes and a stronger US economy relative to the euro zone.
A dollar at multi-year highs against the euro pressures US commodity prices and export demand, and makes imported feed ingredients costlier for buyers paying in weaker currencies.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro fell to its lowest since 2017 as the dollar surged on expectations of aggressive Fed hikes and a relatively stronger US economy, directly describing the move within the window.
Euro fell to its lowest since 2017 as the dollar surged toward its biggest monthly gain, directly contributing to the broad index move (euro is a large weight).