
The euro fell nearly 1% to $1.0631 on Friday, breaking the year's previous low set in February and reaching its weakest level in five months. It was on track for a 2% weekly decline, the worst since late 2022.
The ECB was seen moving to cut rates before the Federal Reserve.
A widening rate gap favouring the dollar strengthens USD and weakens the euro, which tends to lift the dollar index. For feed buyers the effect on grain and meal prices is indirect and modest.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Euro's worst weekly decline since 2022 on ECB-Fed policy divergence mechanically lifted the dollar.