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CBOT wheat futures rallied to a two-week high after India removed its 10 percent tariff on wheat imports, which points to lower Indian production and higher imports. Drought worries in Argentina and South America eased as a La Nina event was forecast to weaken from January to March, while Australian cash prices were held back by lower basis.
India's move to lift its import tariff adds new global wheat demand, supporting world wheat prices even though larger Australian and world production estimates limit gains.
stockandland.com.auMalcolm Bartholomaeus, Market AnalystDec 13, 2016After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
