
The USDA raised its 2016 US beef production forecast to 25.14 billion pounds, up 6.1% on 2015, due to faster slaughter pace. Cattle placements on feedlots fell 2% in September and 5% in October, and the 2017 beef production forecast was revised.
Higher US beef output pressures import demand and lowers cattle prices, which reduces feedlot activity and feed grain demand. Lower placements tighten near-term feedlot demand for feed.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.