
USDA's November WASDE raised the US corn yield estimate to 174.9 bushels per acre, implying a record crop of 15.234 billion bushels, 170 million more than in October. The report surprised the market and is seen as bearish for Canadian feed barley.
A larger US corn supply lowers the price of imported corn that competes with barley in Canadian feed rations, which pressures barley values.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.