Grain futures slipped after USDA's first 2019-20 estimates showed corn ending stocks well above expectations, with corn falling more than 1% and soybeans less than 0.5%. USDA put 2019 corn production at 15.030 billion bushels and yield at 176 bushels per acre, both above trade guesses.
Analysts said the initial selling was driven by high-frequency traders and faded quickly.
Corn supplies larger than the trade expected lower the price outlook for feed grains, though the muted follow-through suggests the market may not hold the lower levels.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.