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USDA's January 31 cattle report put the January 1, 2017 all cattle and calves inventory at 93.6 million head, up 1.8% year on year. The 2016 calf crop was estimated at 35.1 million head, 2.9% larger than 2015, and the analysis concludes the industry remains in expansion mode.
A growing herd means more beef and feeder supply ahead, which is bearish for cattle prices and suggests steady demand for feed grains and by-products from feedlots.
ag.purdue.eduSarah E ZahnFeb 13, 2017After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
