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A JIRCAS note summarises an OECD and AMIS analysis of export restrictions on maize, rice, soybeans and wheat from January 2024 to June 2025. Rice was the most targeted crop at 45% of restrictions, and Argentina, India, Russia and Ukraine accounted for about 85% of new or ongoing curbs.
Removal of restrictions by major exporters has driven the recent fall in food price indicators, and renewed curbs could lift prices for import-dependent buyers. The note is an analytical review rather than a new policy change.
jircas.go.jpJapan International Research CenterNov 14, 2025After 50 past neutral report events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
