
ABC News reports that ABARES forecasts Australian agricultural production value to fall $16 billion to about $78 billion in 2023-24. Crop value is down $12 billion and livestock value $4 billion, with cattle prices down 59% and lamb down 40% amid El Niño and Indian Ocean Dipole dryness.
Sharply lower livestock prices and drought-hit herds point to weaker Australian cattle and sheep markets. Lower feed availability could also keep livestock prices under pressure.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.