
Canadian wheat exports for the first 27 weeks of the season fell 19% year on year to 9.0 million tonnes. Other items include a Egyptian tender for 30,000 tonnes of soybean oil, a US snowstorm disrupting Gulf port shipments, and Argentina's wheat crop exceeding 17 million tonnes.
Weaker Canadian exports and a larger Argentine crop add supply to world wheat markets, while the US port disruption shifts Asian buying toward other origins.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.