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Yara says nitrogen fertiliser prices, which have risen more than €60/t over six months, are partly driven by lower Chinese urea output after coal-cost increases and production cuts. Chinese urea exports fell 36% in 2016 to 8.9m tonnes and are forecast to fall a further 15% to 40% in 2017.
Yara expects rising global capacity to pull prices lower later in 2017.
Tighter Chinese urea exports keep nitrogen input costs elevated for feed grain growers in the near term, while new capacity offers relief later in the year.
farmersjournal.ieLorcan AllenFeb 16, 2017After 176 past bullish trade events, UREA moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
