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Oil futures fell on May 3, 2024 and posted steep weekly losses as weak US macro data showed an economic slowdown. An unexpected contraction in the US services sector, a rise in unemployment and weaker-than-expected job growth weighed on fuel demand and the dollar.
Weaker US growth and fuel demand reduce energy-linked support for biofuel feedstocks such as corn and soybean oil. A softer dollar in the session can lift dollar-priced commodities, partly offsetting the energy drag.
dtnpf.comMay 3, 2024After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
