
A Reuters column by Kemp argues that global distillate consumption growth has been hit by higher fuel prices and weakening freight and manufacturing activity. It also points to signals from the U.S. Treasury yield curve pointing to slowing growth and possible rate cuts.
Weaker diesel demand lowers the pull on distillate supplies and points to softer diesel prices. Slower freight and manufacturing also reduce demand for feed transport.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Kemp column on global slowdown hitting distillate consumption (May 29) frames the demand-side sentiment behind the sharp diesel drop.