The USDA Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Report showed the U.S. breeding herd 4% larger than a year ago and a record for this time of year. Hog futures fell to about a three-month low, with April futures near 65 cents per pound, and soybeans dropped below $9.50 after USDA projected a record 89.5 million acres.
A bigger hog herd means more pork supply just as demand is weak, which pressures lean hog prices and hog-feed demand. Record soybean acreage with high stocks also weighs on soymeal prices.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.