
Ukraine has exported over 33 million tonnes of grain since July 2016, including 14.53 million tonnes of wheat, 4.86 million of barley and 13.78 million of maize. The 2016 harvest was a record 65.95 million tonnes.
Farmers plan record 2016-17 exports of 41.6 million tonnes.
Export volumes running at record levels show strong Ukrainian supply to world buyers. Pace is consistent with existing expectations, so price impact is limited.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.