
Ukraine has exported 37.2 million tonnes of grain in the 2016-17 season, including 15.8 million tonnes of wheat, 5.13 million tonnes of barley and 16 million tonnes of corn. Weekly seaport exports were 538,700 tonnes for 22-28 April, and the season total is expected to reach about 40 million tonnes.
Strong Ukrainian export pace, with corn shipments up 10.8 percent year on year, adds supply to Black Sea and world markets. Remaining corn exportable supply is limited, which supports nearby corn and barley prices modestly.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.