Ukraine exported a season-record 339,000 tonnes of barley in March 2024, according to Pusk analysts. Analysts expect another 200,000 tonnes each in April and May, and new-crop CPT port prices are indicated at $145-155 per tonne.
Strong export pace and competitive pricing against corn support Black Sea barley demand from the EU and Turkey. Stable new-crop indications point to limited price downside in the near term.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.