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Major agricultural traders such as ADM and Bunge are returning to profitability as China buys heavily from the US under the phase-one deal, which commits $36.5 billion in farm purchases for 2020. Soybean futures reached a four-year high, wheat touched a near six-year high, and corn had rebounded 36% from its April low.
Strong Chinese purchases and drought in Brazil support grain and oilseed prices, and tighter export flows raise costs for feed buyers.
ajot.comBloombergOct 27, 2020After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
