China's sharp yuan devaluation against the dollar is curbing its feed and animal protein imports. China has also moved to market-driven grain policy away from self-sufficiency, and H7N9 avian flu cut broiler output by about 5 percent.
Compound feed output fell 0.5 percent in 2016.
Weaker yuan and softer Chinese feed demand reduce import pull for soybean meal and other feed inputs, which pressures exporters' prices. Exporters will need other markets or must cut output.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.