Grain markets fell sharply after a USDA report raised global stockpile estimates for corn, wheat and soybeans, reversing two weeks of rallies on hot, dry weather fears. Corn lost as much as 35 cents a bushel, wheat 50 cents and soybeans more than 60 cents during the week.
Gasoline futures rose to a five-week high on firmer driver demand.
Higher global supplies signal that foreign harvests can offset U.S. losses, pressuring feed grain prices lower. Rising crude and gasoline prices could lift energy-linked costs even as grain values fall.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 131 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.