
The National Biodiesel Board is pushing for higher federal volume mandates, anti-dumping duties on Argentine and Indonesian biodiesel, and a switch to a producer's tax credit. The group says these changes depend on Congress and the President passing tax reform.
Anti-dumping duties and a producer's credit would cut subsidized biodiesel imports and lift domestic soybean oil demand. Outcomes depend on legislative action, so the price effect is currently speculative.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.