Malaysian palm oil futures hit their lowest since mid-November, with the May 2017 contract settling at 2,804 ringgit after losing 0.18 percent on the week. MPOB data showed January end-stocks fell 7.6 percent to 1.54 million tonnes as output dropped 13.4 percent.
Falling Malaysian stocks and lower output are supportive, but higher expected production and ample soyoil supplies are capping prices. Palm oil direction hinges on the balance between these forces.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.