The yen and Australian dollar gained as the dollar weakened after Fed minutes showed policymakers worried about weak inflation, reducing odds of a December hike to below 50%. Oil edged up and Trump's council saw CEO resignations.
Reduced hike odds weaken the dollar, a modest support for dollar-priced commodities; the Aussie's rise tied to base metals signals commodity-currency strength.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.