
The rand weakened nearly 2% since September 25 to R13.53 per dollar, its lowest since July. The move followed Yellen's comments on possible December rate hikes and Trump's proposed tax cuts, which together drove a dollar rally.
The dollar rally driven by Fed rate expectations and US tax plans raises the cost of dollar-priced feed imports for emerging-market buyers, and it pressures currencies such as the Mexican peso and Brazilian real.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.