
African bonds, equities and local debt have underperformed emerging-market peers since March amid a broad emerging-market sell-off that has erased over $1 trillion from developing equity markets this quarter. The selloff was triggered by a strengthening dollar, rising US Treasury yields and escalating US-China trade tensions.
Capital outflows and a stronger dollar tighten financing and weaken African currencies, which can raise import costs for feed ingredients and slow demand in key importing markets.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.