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Beef exports rose about 15% in the first half of 2017 and are forecast by USDA to grow another 9% in 2017. Beef shipments to Japan, Mexico, Canada and South Korea were strong, and China has approved U.S. beef imports with traceability and additive requirements.
The article says cattle prices have become more volatile as export demand has grown.
Export demand supports beef values and cattle prices, but dependence on a few markets adds volatility. Access to China with strict requirements may limit early volumes and affect premiums.
farmprogress.comSep 11, 2017After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.
After 14 past neutral trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.3%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
