
AP reports that US ground beef prices rose nearly 57% from July 2021 to July 2026, reaching $6.89 per pound, and that the reopening of the border to Mexican cattle is not expected to bring beef prices down. Food prices have risen about 25% overall over the same five years.
Limited expected supply relief from Mexican feeder cattle keeps the US herd tight, so cattle and beef prices are likely to stay firm despite the reopening.
After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.