Economists don’t expect reopening the US to Mexican cattle imports to reduce high beef prices

After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Sep 1, 2026Cattle Prices Sink as Mexico Border Reopening Shakes U.S. Beef Markets+2.3%
• Jul 27, 2026U.S. to resume limited Mexican cattle imports as beef supplies tighten | TPR+0.8%
• Sep 24, 2026US eases screwworm ban on Mexican cattle, but beef prices unlikely to budge | Reuters-0.0%
• Jul 27, 2026U.S. reopens Mexican cattle imports as Tyson, JBS surge+0.8%
• Jun 30, 2025USDA announces phased reopening of Mexican cattle imports after screwworm closure | Reuters+1.9%

After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.

• Aug 24, 2026Reopening US border to Mexican cattle not expected to drop beef prices | AP News-1.6%
• Oct 16, 2023Live export cattle prices slide as Indonesia ramps up imports of boxed meat - ABC News+0.2%
• Sep 11, 2017Why you can expect cattle prices to be more volatile+0.3%
• Aug 13, 2020Will contrasting cattle and meat prices see US beef back on Australian retail shelves? - Beef Central+2.4%
• Sep 24, 2026As screwworm fight continues, Mexican cattle ranchers ready for border reopening - El Paso Matters-0.8%