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Oil prices fell below $100 a barrel after President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The deal followed weeks of conflict that had largely disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
A ceasefire that may restore Gulf crude flows removes part of the war risk premium, which lowers crude costs and eases pressure on energy-linked feed inputs.
reuters.comNicole JaoApr 7, 2026After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Oil fell below $100 as the ceasefire was announced, reflecting expectations of restored Hormuz flows (supply-side relief).
Oil fell below $100 after Trump announced the ceasefire, which started the sell-off (supply-risk relief).
