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WTI settled down $18.54, or 16%, at $94.41 a barrel on April 8 after a two-week ceasefire was announced over the Iran war. Brent fell 13% to $94.75, and product prices also tumbled.
Some ships reported being turned away from the Strait of Hormuz and Iran reportedly announced a $1 per barrel transit charge.
Crude and product declines reflect hopes for restored Gulf flows, but unclear passage through Hormuz leaves supply risk open. Lower diesel and crude prices would reduce transport and processing costs for feed.
dtnpf.comBarani KrishnanApr 8, 2026After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 triggered a 16% crude collapse and sharp product price declines, the main driver of the ULSD drop over the window.
WTI settled down 16% to $94.41 on April 8 after the two-week ceasefire announcement, the main driver of the 5-day decline.
WTI fell 16% on April 8 on the ceasefire and product prices tumbled, the same-day crude and product price shock behind the ULSD drop.
Reports the April 8 settlement drop in Brent and WTI on the ceasefire, confirming the move, while noting tenuous Hormuz flows that limited the decline.
