
Brent rose above $60 a barrel and WTI rose about 2.4 percent to $53.90 after Saudi Arabia and Russia declared support for extending the OPEC-led cut by nine months. Iraqi and Kurdish forces also announced a ceasefire, and the dollar retreated from three-month highs.
Crude's rally supports energy costs across the feed supply chain, and a weaker dollar can make US commodity exports more competitive.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 15 past bearish policy events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (27% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.