
Brent held above $60 a barrel and WTI near $54 on Monday as markets expected OPEC's production cut due to expire in March 2018 to be extended. Saudi Arabia and Russia have both voiced support for extension, and OPEC is scheduled to meet on November 30.
Expected extension of supply curbs keeps crude prices supported, which feeds into diesel, freight and fertilizer costs for feed producers.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.