
Oil prices rose as OPEC and non-OPEC allies led by Russia signaled they will keep their output cuts through 2018. Brent was near $70 and WTI near $65 per barrel, but both were held back by rising US crude inventories and record US production.
Continued supply restraint supports crude prices, which feed into diesel and freight costs for feed producers. Rising US output and inventories cap the upside.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.