
OPEC and Russia said the global oil glut is about halfway cleared, but they stopped short of new action at their Vienna meeting. Ministers said the Nigeria and Libya production decision was deferred, and warned that US shale growth could make the March expiry premature.
Holding policy steady keeps the existing cuts in place and supports prices, while uncertainty about post-March extension caps the upside.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.