
Goldman Sachs says OPEC+ has regained market power as non-OPEC supply growth slows and U.S. shale output lags high prices. The bank expects OPEC+ to probably unwind its production cuts in the second half of 2023 at its June meeting.
Tighter supply from OPEC+ would support crude prices and, through diesel and fertilizer costs, raise the cost of producing feed ingredients.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.