
The People's Bank of China set the yuan's daily midpoint at its strongest level in a year, beating the average forecast of 18 traders and analysts in a Bloomberg survey. The fixing came while the dollar was subdued after the Jackson Hole symposium lacked hawkish rate-hike signals.
A firmer yuan fixing signals official support for the currency, which can ease import costs for Chinese feed buyers. The effect on feed grain prices is limited because the dollar move is the main driver.
After 50 past bearish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
After 15 past bearish policy events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (27% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.0%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 2017-08-28 the PBOC set the yuan midpoint at its strongest in a year, beating forecasts, and this directly drove the drop in CNY per USD alongside a subdued dollar after Jackson Hole.