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The IEA cut its 2017 and 2018 oil demand growth forecasts by 100,000 bpd because of warmer weather. It said the market could return to surplus in the first half of 2018 unless supply disruptions in Nigeria, Iraq and the Middle East persist.
Oil inventories in rich nations fell in September.
A weaker demand outlook and possible 2018 surplus point to lower crude prices, which reduce energy input costs and pressure vegetable oil prices through the biofuel link.
hydrocarbonprocessing.comNov 1, 2017After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
